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GBP/USD

Emma

Active member
GBP/USD - September 5th, 2023.On a daily chart clear 5 waves up (that represent impulsive Elliott wave 1), with the nicely drawn 4th flatwave and wedge pattern in the 5th wave, which is a clear sign that the bears are coming to the scene andbeginning of a correction to the downside or corrective Elliott wave 2. Another confirmation is breakingbelow resistance 1.2719.So, after the 5 Elliott waves have clearly finished, we now expect correction to the downside, which isalready started. It can be flat, zig zag or more complexThe first support zone is, as it is drawn on the chart, area between swing low and swing high 1.2456 -1.2289 That is our first target, where we can see move to the up, as a part of a downside correction ABCor Flat, and then to the downside there is one very strong area at the end of the 4th wave, around1.1813, which is by the Elliot wave theory area that corrective second wave could tested.Significant zone that the price can tested in a corrective second wave, before it resumes uptrend isbetween 50 –61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Bear in mind that this is a daily chart, and bigger picture,and that the first wave took almost one year to develop, so the second wave could be the same timelength
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On a smaller timeframe H4 obviously start of the bearish forces for a second corrective bearish wave, which can, by the rule, develop in a few different scenarios. Bears are here to stay for a some time with the strong resistance at the 1.3140 - end of the 1st impulsive bullish wave. The trading idea here is to short any upside that is below 1.3140.
Important area zones are emphasized with the blue color.
On the chart is written one of the potential scenarios. GBP/usd is usually in a direct correlation with EUR/USD and right now the Euro is drawing very similar price action, and bearish correction is in place as well, so we can see very similar charts.
Suma sum arum: Sell GBP/USD on any pullback for a better risk reward ratio. Target areas are shown on the chart. Strong resistance and stop loss above 1.3140
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Thanks Emma for this comprehensive and robust analysis. I am short on EUR/USD and on GBP/USD
 
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